Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 6.904807 7.984098 9.138459 10.460696 11.928933 13.504912 15.319971
2025-05-11 5.332183 6.792685 8.470558 10.523191 12.948156 15.703197 19.050348
2025-05-18 4.056779 5.676754 7.668552 10.256709 13.486968 17.340633 22.236665
2025-05-25 3.140794 4.815215 7.011449 10.028357 13.983307 18.906567 25.404131
2025-06-01 2.518759 4.212668 6.572744 9.982114 14.649380 20.676221 28.890044
2025-06-08 2.025935 3.692587 6.154511 9.883589 15.195666 22.285067 32.225533
2025-06-15 1.790719 3.511802 6.181506 10.384565 16.564919 25.029100 37.160758
2025-06-22 1.495184 3.175045 5.920399 10.420176 17.255152 26.862687 40.937086
2025-06-29 1.177129 2.733026 5.425991 10.034738 17.278231 27.737833 43.405956
2025-07-06 0.916664 2.336917 4.944080 9.602680 17.173078 28.391756 45.556943
2025-07-13 0.833957 2.271416 5.020105 10.077496 18.481018 31.148628 50.800317
2025-07-20 0.799317 2.298958 5.263175 10.846167 20.287503 34.710636 57.326861
2025-07-27 0.738128 2.261758 5.389967 11.439393 21.872029 38.046366 63.709001
2025-08-03 0.627434 2.085847 5.227474 11.505225 22.594715 40.097681 68.264648
2025-08-10 0.502508 1.841218 4.891319 11.218638 22.701487 41.189057 71.408400
2025-08-17 0.403286 1.632872 4.596267 10.973181 22.850740 42.338704 74.665296
2025-08-24 0.334729 1.488280 4.415092 10.923324 23.326351 44.014541 78.771272
2025-08-31 0.274232 1.346881 4.217575 10.817431 23.686968 45.506769 82.626156
2025-09-07 0.255613 1.337519 4.330926 11.354993 25.243418 49.022900 89.779446
2025-09-14 0.215745 1.239575 4.212058 11.393152 25.873022 51.007944 94.537986
2025-09-21 0.164860 1.076524 3.898501 10.979544 25.621377 51.484923 96.868612
2025-09-28 0.122693 0.923728 3.580007 10.515641 25.233631 51.698489 98.757964
2025-10-05 0.114951 0.923166 3.686017 11.025414 26.774318 55.307939 106.331593